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Leasing, Investment & the Post-Pandemic Recalibration

Office CRE 101

Office remains a significant commercial asset class, but the sector has undergone a structural recalibration since 2020 that has changed how properties are underwritten, leased, and valued. Understanding where and why those changes occurred is essential before entering any office transaction.

For informational purposes only. Not legal, financial, or investment advice.

01

What Is Office Commercial Real Estate?

Office real estate encompasses buildings—or portions of buildings—leased to tenants for administrative, professional, or knowledge-work purposes. The sector is broadly categorized by class (A, B, C), location (CBD, suburban, flex), and building type (multi-tenant, single-tenant, medical office).

Class A office refers to the top tier: newer construction or fully renovated buildings in prime locations with high-end finishes, full-service amenities, and above-market rents. Class B is functional but not premier—older buildings in acceptable condition, typically trading at lower rents and occupied by a mix of professional services tenants. Class C is the lowest tier: older buildings with outdated systems and limited amenity value.

Medical office is a distinct subcategory that has significantly outperformed traditional office since 2020. Healthcare is not remote-workable, creating structural demand differences. Medical office buildings (MOBs) often trade at tighter cap rates than comparable general office because of their occupancy durability.

02

Deal Structure & Lease Types

Office leases are typically longer-term than retail (5–10 years is common), structured as full-service gross, modified gross, or net leases. The structure affects both the tenant's budgeting and the landlord's ability to control operating expense recovery.

  • Full-service gross: Tenant pays one flat rate; landlord covers all operating expenses including utilities, janitorial, and common area costs. Standard in Class A multi-tenant buildings.
  • Modified gross: Tenant pays base rent plus certain expenses (often electricity or janitorial), landlord covers remaining operating costs. Common in mid-tier suburban product.
  • Net lease: Tenant pays base rent plus their proportionate share of taxes, insurance, and operating expenses. Less common in office than retail, but found in single-tenant corporate headquarters.
  • Expense stop: In full-service leases, the dollar amount per square foot above which the tenant begins reimbursing the landlord for operating expenses. The base year expense stop is a critical negotiating point.
03

Key Terms to Know

  • Rentable vs. usable square footage: Rentable SF includes the tenant's proportionate share of common areas (lobbies, corridors, bathrooms). Tenants pay rent on rentable SF; they actually occupy usable SF. The ratio between them is the load factor, typically 10–15% in multi-tenant buildings.
  • TI allowance (Tenant Improvement): Landlord contribution toward tenant build-out. In a strong market, landlords fund less; in a weak market, TI is a primary leasing incentive. Post-2020, TI requirements have increased materially as tenants demand space customization.
  • Free rent: Rent abatement used to close deals. A 12-month free rent period on a 7-year lease effectively reduces the economic rent by about 14%. Factor it into net effective rent calculations.
  • BOMA measurement standard: Building Owners and Managers Association methodology for measuring rentable area. Ensure your space is measured consistently to avoid disputes.
  • Sublease space: Space a tenant has leased but no longer needs, put back on the market at or below contract rent. High sublease availability signals a market oversupply problem distinct from direct vacancy.
04

Evaluating an Office Property

Office underwriting in 2024 requires an honest assessment of remote and hybrid work's impact on a specific building's tenant base. National statistics are less useful than knowing what the specific tenants in a specific building are actually doing with their space.

Lease roll is the primary risk factor in office investment. A building with 60% of leases expiring in the next 24 months in a market with elevated vacancy carries substantial re-leasing risk. Lenders are acutely aware of this—many have tightened financing on office with near-term lease roll.

Operating expense analysis for office is more complex than retail or multifamily. Janitorial, utilities, and building management costs are substantial in full-service buildings. Cap ex for elevator modernization, HVAC replacement, and common area renovation must be budgeted realistically.

  • Calculate net effective rent per square foot—face rent minus amortized TI and free rent
  • Review lease roll schedule: what percentage of rent expires in each of the next 5 years
  • Assess parking ratio and pricing against market—increasingly important for suburban office attracting tenants away from CBD
  • Check building systems age: HVAC, elevators, electrical—older buildings face significant capital exposure
  • Compare direct vacancy vs. sublease availability separately—sublease supply is often underreported in vacancy statistics
05

Common Mistakes

Treating office as a stable income investment without accounting for lease roll risk is the most costly mistake in the current environment. A building at 95% occupancy with 70% of leases expiring in 18 months is not a stable asset—it's a lease-up play priced as a core holding.

Underestimating the cost to retain or replace tenants is consistently a problem. TI packages, free rent, and broker commissions can total $75–$150/SF or more in competitive markets. Budget realistically.

Buyers sometimes fail to distinguish between CBD and suburban office market dynamics. These are effectively different product types with different demand drivers, tenant profiles, and vacancy trajectories.

  • Failing to separately analyze sublease availability from direct vacancy
  • Ignoring the impact of remote/hybrid work adoption rates specific to the tenant industries in the building
  • Underestimating broker incentives required to lease vacant space in a tenant-favorable market
06

Market Conditions (2024–2025)

National office vacancy reached record highs in 2024—CBRE reported overall U.S. availability approaching 22% by year-end. Suburban markets generally outperformed CBD product, with suburban vacancy running 300–500 basis points below CBD levels in most metros.

Indiana and Kentucky office markets reflect this pattern. Indianapolis suburban office maintained stronger occupancy than the central business district, where several large tenants downsized or consolidated. Louisville showed a similar bifurcation. Medical office in both states remained a strong performer with near-full occupancy in most submarkets.

Transaction volume in office dropped more than any other commercial property type from 2021 to 2024. Lender caution—particularly from regional banks carrying existing office exposure—has constrained deal activity. Buyers who can identify well-located suburban office with strong tenant credit and long lease term, financed conservatively, can still find compelling risk-adjusted opportunities.

07

Working With an Office Broker

Office brokerage is highly relationship-driven, particularly at the tenant representation level. Corporate tenants rely on tenant rep brokers to run site selection processes across multiple buildings, negotiate LOIs, and advise on lease structures. This is specialized work that differs from investment sales brokerage.

For investment transactions, a broker who understands the local leasing market is more valuable than one who only tracks cap rates. The ability to assess whether vacant space will lease—and at what economics—is the core underwriting question in office.

Sources & Further Reading

  • CBRE U.S. Office Figures Q4 2024
  • CBRE H2 2024 Cap Rate Survey — Office Sector
  • JLL Office Market Dynamics Report Q3 2024
  • CoStar Office Analytics — Indianapolis, Louisville (2024)
  • ULI/PwC Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2025

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This guide is provided for educational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes legal, financial, or investment advice. Market data and conditions described reflect publicly available research and are subject to change. Consult licensed professionals for guidance specific to your situation.